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Severe weather threat continues

January 29, 2013

Severe weather threat continues through evening for LeFlore County.

According to the National Weather Service, LeFlore County will remain under threat of severe weather until this evening.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES THROUGH MID EVENING.

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OF A FAYETTEVILLE TO MCALESTER LINE.
... ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND ALSO WESTERN ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...ALL EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE MID EVENING HOURS...BEFORE PUSHING FURTHER EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND ADDITIONAL
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND SHIFT EASTWARD AS THE STORMS ADVANCE. THE EXPECTED SCENARIO IS THAT STORMS BECOME STRONGER THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THE FAVORED AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER BEING SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FAYETTEVILLE TO MCALESTER.
WIND FIELDS ALOFT ARE STRONG AND ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFT WILL HAVE POTENTIAL TO CREATE DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY QUARTER SIZE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO WARRANT A RISK OF TORNADOES...THOUGH
THIS RISK WILL QUICKLY SHIFT FURTHER EASTWARD BY EARLY EVENING.

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